speculation that players eventually regress to the mean and only a select few outperform prior performance and stay there? Yeah, I'm breaking new ground here (this is sarcasm).
Manny was a presence. He was feared. He was pitched around. And he forced the other team to pitch to the player he was protecting (Ortiz). Now Youks did a damn good job in that 4 hole, but he isnt Manny. Sorry, Manny is a first ballot HOFer who was probably one of the top 3 right handed hitters of the last 25 yrs or so (Frank Thomas, Alex Rodriguez and Manny Ramirez). You dont replace that, especially when he is still producing to a prime level. And you can use all the stats you want to use. His worth to the sox was way more than any WARP you throw this way. He had 6 consecutive yrs where his OPS was .982 or higher in Boston (8 overall if you count CLE). He had one down yr in 07, but was back up to the .927 pace prior to the part of the season that he consistently dominates (the back half). I am sorry, adding Jason Bay or switching youks to the 4 hole doesnt make up for that.
you are a sensitive little lass arent you? You use WARP. I think its useful at times, but it highly overestimated Ellsbury's worth to the team. His post May performance was abysmal. He had half the walks from June on that he had in the first two months. His OBP plummeted. THAT is what is useful for him. And he wasnt useful from June on. I'll get to the rest of your bitching later. I have to work for the next 30 hours.