THE NEW YORK YANKEES (61-50)
AUGUST
8/6 - 8/9 @ TOR : 2-1 -> 63-51
8/10 - 8/12 @ CLE : 1-2 -> 64-53
8/13 - 8/15 vs. BAL : 2-1 -> 66-54
8/16 - 8/19 vs. DET : 2-2 -> 68-56
8/20 - 8/22 @ LAA : 1-2 -> 69-58
8/24 - 8/27 @ DET : 1-3 -> 70-61
8/28 - 8/30 vs. BOS : 2-1 -> 72-62
8/31 - 9/2 vs. TB : 3-0 -> 75-62
SEPTEMBER
9/3 - 9/5 vs. SEA : 2-1 -> 77-63
9/7 - 9/9 @ KC : 2-1 -> 79-64
9/11 - 9/13 @ TOR : 1-2 -> 80-66
9/14 - 9/16 @ BOS : 2-1 -> 82-67
9/17 - 9/19 vs. BAL : 2-1 -> 84-68
9/21 - 9/24 vs. TOR : 3-1 -> 87-69
9/25 - 9/27 @ TB : 2-1 -> 89-70
9/28 - 9/30 @ BAL : 1-2 -> 90-72
The big thing to look at here is...well, the Yankees dug themselves into a hole the first half of the season that is going to be very difficult to dig themselves out of. The division looks to be out of reach, but I have them as *gulp* a 90 win team. I think this may be a bit conservative (it's who I am, right?), but I'd be shocked if the Yanks ended up with more then 93 wins. Shocked.
I will say that the Yankees have underperformed according to their Pythag, in fact,they should be right about where the Red Sox are. Could an ascension to the mean provide the Bombers with a shot in October? I don't think so because while I think Hughes is a fantastic pitcher, I don't think he's the answer this year and I really think it was a risk to trade away Scott Proctor, the one guy who ate innings like it was his job for Torre. Asking this much out of Hughes, Joba, and an inconsistent Mussina and Clemens in the back end of the rotation leaves me with too many question marks to put them at that 93-94 win mark.
Their offense will continue to hit, not as well obviously, but I think the series in Cleveland and the two against Detroit make or break their season in terms of the division. They have to make their headway there for the division, but they do have the advantage of having Cleveland and Detroit beat up on each other. Seattle remains interesting but I don't think they have the pitching to get there.
Against teams I deem respectable (Toronto, Cleveland, Detroit, LA, Seattle, and Boston), I have the Yankees at a solid .500 (16-16).
Against the dregs (Baltimore, TB, and KC), I have them at 14-7. Too little, too late.