Here is the deal. Beane got porked when he watched Tejada and Giambi walk with only draft pick compensation. He learned his lesson and dealt away 2/3 of the holy trinity before they became FA's, and the Mulder trade was a fuggin steal for what the cards had to give up. I expect Beane to work his magic and make Zito available. BUT, you have to look at the market for this to work. First off, Zito and Mulder are FAs after the yr, and I dunno about you guys but I like Mulder better. Also, the Cards are expected to make a run at trading for Buerhle, so they might be okay with letting Mulder fly.
Now, if you deal for Zito, you have to give up a lot, why not just wait for the FA process and try to scoop up Mulder or Zito for free? Because you can bet your ass that the yankees will be bidding for one of them and will likely shorten the field by one half. So how do you beat them to it? By dealing for them. The sox have many prospects in the minors whose paths are blocked as well as 3-4 big league arms ready in the minors or recently called up. You also have to figure that Beane is going to have a minimal amount of suitors. I think the Mets are happy with their rotation. The Yankees wont be looking to deal. The Cards wont need another and if Rocket goes to Houston, he wont be needed there either. The A's wont deal in division and no team from the AL Central has the goods or the need for Zito. So, I think it leaves the Dodgers and the Sox going for his services, but there are a few confounding factors. One, does Wells return, and if he does which wells shows up? Two, is LA in it by the trade deadline. Three, is Oakland in the race by the deadline, thereby making the point moot.
I see a serious move coming on the horizon and I seriously think that if the sox rotation continues as is, assuming Beckett stays around a 4+ era pitcher, they will look to strengthen the rotation. They have Ellsbury and Moss in the minors whose paths are blocked. Stern would make a good trade chip. Edgar Martinez is another and either Lester or Hansen would likely be asked to be included. I could see a 3 player package going to oakland for Zito.
One caveat though, Barry Zito gets ass-raped by the yankees. 0-2 era over 12 in his last 3 starts vs the Yankees.