Sky, I'd like to say welcome to the board, btw, it is reat to talk baseball with a jays fan. Okay, to your post....
Burnett is a friggin pussy because he cannot handle a little scar tissue. Seriously, he is a huge concern for you guys, because this is a continuous problem and if he cannot get over it, he may need to be opened up again and have the scar tissue lysed. Chacin was just put on the DL and from the sounds of it, they are not optimistic about him being back anytime soon. His "report" is very similar to a ruptured UCL. A "sprain" means that there is some ligament tearing, but they would say if he ruptured his UCL. This is a problem that will not go away very easily and he will miss some time, and has the potential for needed TJ. Towers has been bad. You say his last start wasnt as bad, but he only lasted 4 innings and gave up 3ER and 6 baserunners. He is 0-7 and has looked totally lost.
Your bullpen ERA is 20th in the MLB and 8th in the AL, while having 2 horses who are carrying the load. In contrast, the Yankees pen is 3rd in the AL and 6th in the MLB with Myers and Proctor sub 2, Villone and Rivera sub 3, and Farnsworth at 3.07 in ERA. We also have Octavio Dotel returning soon. Basically our numbers have been inflated by having Tanyon the Manyon completely get destroyed and by having Small return a little rustier than last yr.
The offense will slow down. There is no way that Rios stays at .364, no way that Wells stays at .353, no way that Hillenbrand stays at .333, no way Reed Johnson stays at .379, unlikely that Hinske stays above .300, and unlikely that Catalanotto stays second in the league in OBP. Your lineup has totally overachieved for the most part. Guys like Molina, Overbay and Glaus have come as advertised. Adams is a light hitting shortstop anyway, so being in the mid-200s is going to be his norm. The only regular who is clearly underachieving is Hill, but you really dont know what his norm is. After storming on the scene in May and June last yr, he finished the yr (July-October) hitting .226. Now he is hitting .193, this may be what he is and he may need a demotion. Overall, your offense will slow down, your bullpen may come back to the norm, but there is no indication of it happening yet, and you have major questions in your rotation. BUT, your team is good enough to stay over .500 IMHO, but you wont challenge for the title this yr..,..