Most analysts also picked the brewers to finish last, ignoring their roster. Most analysts picekd the Jays to finish second based on a lousy spending spree. Most analysts also picked the Yankees to win the world series. See, analysts don't know everything.
Texas is a very good ball club, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them finish second in that division. They've got a good lineup and an underrated staff even without Eaton. Cordero is as good a closer as you can get too. The sox aren't winning because they're playing bad teams. They're winning because they've got a couple of aces, good D, and a solid pen.