Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

ORS

Old-Timey Member
  • Posts

    19,682
  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ORS

  1. Jacko, if the first week of the season is so indicative of what to expect from our offense, what does it say about your starting pitching? Oh, I know there's an excuse or two out there for you to grasp at, some of them valid. All I'm saying is, apply that same mentality, you know, where the first week of the season is not tell all, to both sides.
  2. Since we are veering a bit back on course, I just don't see any room for optimism re: Tavarez. Sure, the guy has some good movement pitches that can induce the GB, but he doesn't have command of them. He is a free pass machine lately, and let's not even get into his makeup. The guy loses his grip on the situation in a flash. The worst thing in the world that could happen is if Tavarez goes out and produces a quality start his next time out because that means the JT Experiment will last longer.
  3. I don't know why, but the FO wanted to start him there. My guess is to send a "not this year" message, but if he keeps playing this kind of ball, they can't ignore it. He finished 4/6, 3 2B, 1 R, 1 RBI, 1 SB.
  4. Portland finally played today. Game's still on..... 4/5, 3 doubles......with more to come...... Coco's hearing foot-steps.
  5. ORS

    Strikeouts

    Ks are guaranteed outs. Non-hit contact events have the possibilty of a positive outcome. Errors, moving runners over, and even RBIs. That said, the DP is big negative. Look at the delta from the Expected-Runs matrix for each event. The first number is the expected runs for the situation, the second is the expected runs after the DP (with the lead runner advanced where applicable), the third is the delta: Runner on 1st, no outs: .816, .105, -.711 Runner on 1st/2nd, no outs: 1.442, .314, -1.128 Loaded, no outs: 2.810, 1.314, -1.496 In the loaded situation, notice how it's 1.314 after the event. That is the same as 1st/2nd, but with a run scored, so even though you are actually scoring there, it's still a big negative. Here are the 1-out scenarios: 1st: .571 1st/2nd: .720 Loaded: 1.788 They obviously all drop to zero. There are no appreciable benefits in the matrix in any situation where the runners are moved over for an out. Of course, it's important to remember these are theoretical expectancies, and some times you beat it while others you fall short. Due to that theoretical nature, I'll always take a run on the board. It is also important to remember that the alternative to the runner advancing outs is a K with the runners not advancing. With all that said, it takes several runner-advancing plays to account for one DP in the theoretical matrix, so the overreaction to the K is unwarranted.
  6. We need more Coco Crisps and less Adam Dunns? It is amazing some of you are able to tie your shoes.
  7. Are you seriously going to route for an injury here? Grow up, Jack.
  8. Morgan thinks Francona did a good job managing out of that jam? Sure, if you completely ignore the fact he managed them into it.
  9. I have to say, while I still think there's value to him starting (long-term), I happy as s*** he's the closer. He's f***ing nails.
  10. Papelbon's FB/split combo has Young totally flumoxed.
  11. :wtf: How are you not playing bunt there?
  12. Dude, WTF is going on? Where is "the mann" to tell me that a Sox pitcher gave up a hit? Man, the offense blows lately, and now our trolls blow. Yeszir needs to fix this.
  13. I disagree. Stupid play by Lugo (or whoever signalled it). The only thing it assures is one out.
×
×
  • Create New...