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oldtimer

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Everything posted by oldtimer

  1. I expect the guys competing for 1st, 2nd and utility will be Chavis, Travis, MHern, Lin, Holt, Dalbec and Chatham. Maybe I don't appreciate Ockimey but I don't see him. Of those Marco, Lin and Holt are left handed and are flexible for utility. Holt is the most proven ML but is a FA. Chavis will likely be given the shot first based on his power and likely improvement at the plate. We know Travis as a 1st and outfield possibility and an okay hitter. Dalbec can play 1st or 3rd and has power but has to prove he belongs, while Chatham is very flexible at 3rd, SS, 1st and possibly outfield. He is a line drive hitter who might gain power if he adds 15 pounds of muscle. My oppinion is we try to keep Holt, Chavis and either Dalbec or Chatham. Centeno is probably more of Leon. Maybe we can find a younger backup defensive catcher who can at least hit his weight.
  2. I know your a die hard fan and that is commendable. I am sure there are reasons for playing some of our guys like Moreland and Travis, but I take the other view that we are already prepping for 2020. Getting 20 games of experience in the bigs might help a few kids. I am thinking of Dalbec here and if we brought up potential starters now they would only get into a few games. Chathaqm interests me as he has a real chance of supplanting others at 2nd or as a key utility guy. Duran may just be too raw for the bigs and another few months of minor league play may help him more than getting into MLB games now.
  3. I agree totally with that. Cora tried to get cute and put us behind the eightball. I don't think we would have won regardless, but I didn't like the move.
  4. We had to win today to keep the hopes of the most optimistic fans alive. Cora's approach was and had to be using an opener and using the BP heavily. It can work in the post season, but there is a danger that one of the relievers won't have good stuff. Unfortunately, Cora sometimes gets cute and decided to put JDM in RF to allow for another hitter in Travis. This backfired as Martinez isn't a good defender and was fooled by a liner and then didn't call Holt off and make the catch he should have gotten to. It cost us runs and our offense just didn't show up against Happ. It looked like we weren't going to win the game, even if we had avoided defensive errors. Time to give our possible minor leaguers more playing time, but it doesn't look like Cora will do that.
  5. One more nail currently being pounded into the coffin that is the 2019 season. Our defense, as lined up by Cora, let us down and our hitting looked absolutely baffled out there. Standing pat is not the best approach. I'll be interested to see what moves the Sox make. The best teams in the American league have dangerous hitters 1-9 in the lineup and decent reserves to call upon. The Astros have great starting pitching while the Yankees aren't quite as good there, but have a very strong BP. Our plan going forward, has to address how we get there and a reasonable time frame in which to bring it off.
  6. It started with Bogie not having the range to get to leMahieu's drive. Then JDM is not a confident outfielder and the sun got to him. It might have been a problem for anyone. The second ball, JDM could have gotten to but slowed down due to bad communication with Holt. I think you can attribute all of the runs to weaker defense than we could have put out there. Sad, because we are on the road to another loss where we are kind of giving it away.
  7. I had said that I don't think JDM will opt out but you also have to have a fall back plan if he does. With the potential $34 mil off the payroll (JDM & JBJ) we could recontruct the outfield with Castellnos and get a cheaper left handed bat for a short contract for DH unless we felt one of our youngsters could fill that void. JDM is a valuable player but the ball is still in his court. I think Castellanos currently gets $9 mil a year so your projection of approx $16 mil may be high.
  8. If JDM opts out, and I don't think he will, we will have his $23.75 MIl plus JBJ's. $8 to 10 Mil to work with. Resign Mookie, Go after Nick Castellanos to refill the outfield. Castellanos is young and good and no more money than Bradley. Find a Left hand hitting DH and fill 1st, 2nd with low cost farm players. Replace Leon with another backup prospect and work hard to get our young starters ready for MLB.
  9. I appreciate what Moreland has done for the club. Certainly he has been a solid pro for us. He is now 34 and has what appear to be chronic medical issues which would limit him going forward. i expect he won't be resigned and the more than $6 mil will be better applied elsewhere. We have, Travis, Chavis and Dalbec as potential lower cost players to fill the void. The only problem I can see is the loss of both Moreland and Bradley will take two left handed bats out of the lineup. Do we keep Holt and or MHern to make up for that? The question still remains about what JDM will do. If he does, there might be another lower cost left handed FA who would fit and be signed for a couple of years at a lower cost and who also might be able to shore up the outfield part time. I can think of at least one who could do that job.
  10. The Yanks put up their #2 starter against a late season pickup of a pitcher released by the Brewers. Cora made it a BP game. The Yanks had 3 hits while the Sox seemed to on enough to make it look like we were the far better team. Hope it can be done again tomorrow afternoon.
  11. When our die hard fans are finally satisfied that the team is out of the playoffs (I have been there for a while now), we ought to bring in some rookies and see how they fare in ML competition. In particular, why not start DHern and possibly Houck and Mata? I also would like to see Dalbec, Chatham and Duran. I understand Chavis has had a setback so may be out for additional time. Dalbec can play 1st or 3rd and is a power bat at a position we will need to backfill next year, Chatham is a good fielder with soft hands and a terrific arm who can play 2nd, short or 3rd. His utility makes he a good possibility and if he added 15 pounds he may show reasonable power. Duran is somewhat raw but is our 4th listed player on our prospect lst and is very fast and is more of a linedrive hitter. All have one thing in common, low cost. We would have to be incredibly lucky to have a high % of these young players make the team, but what have we got to lose by playing them. Is there an impact to our comppetitive baance tax for this year if we bring them up?
  12. To reset or not to reset, that is the question. Make that decision facing the contracts of Sale, Price and Eovaldi along with Pedroia and we probably have a baseline of $86mil in underperforming contracts. against $208 Mil to spend. We also have Bogie and JDM at close to $44 Mil. With $130 mil already tied up and benefits accounting for $15 Mil we are left with $63 Mil for the rest of the club and probably some of that should be left for mid season moves. I think Moon has estimated that Betts will cost $28 Mil for the final Arb year. I want to keep Betts and try to be somewhat competitive in 2020, yet reset so we have more flexibility for 2021. With the other arb raises for keeper players it appears that something has to give if we follow the reset approach. One way is going for low cost players from the minors for starting pitching, 1st base, 2nd base and center field. Clearly there is also a need to reconstruct part of the BP. As much as I would like to think we could trade one of our potentially underperforming pitchers (in addition to Porcello), it is not likely to happen. That leaves the question of what to do with Bradley and Betts front and center. DD's approach got us the WS but has left us in this situation and it doesn't appear the be solvable. Do we keep throwing big money at it year after year and penalize our draft while only getting to quasi competitive or do we reset? Again, that is the question.
  13. Well, we had a chance to win this one but just couldn't get it done. Twice in this series we were in a position to win it, but just couldn't get it done. Another nail in the coffin.
  14. Hard to believe, a walk and an error. This team is playing more poorly than we should expect.
  15. Two hits in 8 full innings and both by Mookie. Hard to exxplain how this team can go into a funk. Matinez, Devers amd Bogaerts to some extent have gone cold in this series. We have held them to 2 runs on 2 hits but 8 walks. Hard to understand what is going on with this team.
  16. He never took his bat off his shoulder leading off the 7th down 1. I don't get the thinking! At least Vaz put the ball in play hard. Beni's attempt was weak.
  17. We walked 8 tonight in 7 innings. Sum Ting Wong Here. Still in the game, but someone other than Mookie has to get a hit.
  18. Lots of pitchers available. Don't leave a guy in who can't throw strikes.
  19. Is something going on with Bradley or is it just a managers decision?
  20. I had the same thought, but people corrected me to say his loose bodies in his elbow happened in Spring Training and then his sustained a further injury during rehap. The guy still can hit 100 mph on the radar gun but his command hasn't been good. I believe we will need to shed payroll going into next season and he may be someone we can trade away, particularly if he has a strong showing during the next few weeks.
  21. With the first tier of the Competitive Balance Tax beginning at $208 Mil this coming year and the benefits eating up somewhere close to $15 Mil of that, if you want to reset how would you apportion the money to be spent. Also knowing that the 25 man team is probably going to have 13 pitching spots and 12 position players. I am talking about a team sitting without the contracts in place that we have but sort of the ideal apportionment. The presumption is you ave $208 -$15 - $10 (mid season flexability)=$183Mil I would assume you need to set aside $12 Mil for the remainder of the 40 man roster, leaving $171 Mil for the 25 man roster. What % do you allocate for pitching which means field players can get the rest? If you think it is 60%, based on the earlier discussion about the cost of ML pitching these days, you have $102.6 Mil with$68.4Mil for the 12 field players. A hypothetical case where you pay your ace 23%, your 2nd starter 17%, your 3rd 14%, 4th 10%, 5th 6%, closer 10% and the remaining 7 pitchers combined 10% combined is not unreasonable but doesn't allow for the kind of salaries the Sox have granted. The field players get to split up $68.4 mil. If you have 3 established stars each getting a solid cut, like 25, 25% and 20% that leaves 30% for the remaining 7 players. Clearly these figures don't work for the Red Sox if they go for the reset, even without the sunken cost of Pedroia. It's a way of thinking like the front office may have to do by first deciding whether to reset and second to decide how to allocate salaries. It also will demonstrate to them where adjustments will need to be made. Remember, there are other competitive teams with less than 1/2 the Competitive Balance Tax first tier in salaries this year.
  22. Ask Tiger fans.
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