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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I think he'll play too. I'm not saying I think he'll do badly, but just that we know so little, I'm uncertain of his defensive level at this time.
  2. I would think keeping Kimbrel and Ross is a given next year and possibly Kelly if he shows marked improvement from earlier this year. With Ziegler a FA and turning 38 should we try to resign him? Uehara is approaching 42 and probably not up to the rigors of another season. Abad has good stuff if he could be brought out of the funk. I question trying to do something with Tazawa, Barnes and Buccholz. Of our need for 7 RP's next year I only count 4 with a strong chance of helping us. Kimrel, Ross, Abad and Kelly. That means DD needs to add a few from internal sources or through trades. Internally we have Smith, Workman and Hembree who may fill some of our void. Lots to think about in the off season. Nothing against all these guys, but I really have no strong desire to bring back Uehara, Ziegler, Tazawa or Buchholz. I think we can do better, go younger and more dependable (healthier history).
  3. I get it too, and it does make total sense. Moncada's situation was unique in several ways. 1) Cuban ball players are unique by themselves. Several make the jump to the bigs after very short stints on the farm. 2) He had no "true position" to begin with. 3) His offense, particularly against RHPs was probably close to Ml ready near day one in the system. I think the Sox knew what they were doing, but am worried about his lack of time at 3B, if they plan to throw him in there now. I'm not saying they screwed up. I'm just saying 10 games does not feel right to me.
  4. The 40 man roster does not include 60 day DL players. It's my understanding that oif someone goes on the DL, they may be replaced in the post season or any other time only by players on the 40 man roster. We currently have 4 guys on the 60 day DL: Workman, Swihart, Sandoval and Smith, so we essentially have 44 guys on the 40 man roster right now. We've already filler those 4 "open" slots. We currently have Uehara and Benintendi on the 15 day DL. I am not sure about retroactively replacing them with someone not on the 40 man roster August 31st. I always thought that was a no-no. I did read somewhere that you can replace an injured player with MLB's approval, so who knows.
  5. I think it's on the 40 man roster (which Moncada was added to in time) not just "in the organization".
  6. Looking at his numbers in 2014 and 2015, it doesn't look like a LOOGY, but clearly that was why we got him. Abad had the best LHP vs RHB OPS (.712) on MN, so maybe that played into their different usage. We have slightly better options but not much --only Kimbrel, Ziegler and barnes have a better than .712 OPS against RHBs in the Sox pen- Hembree was not on the team enough). His .458 OPS vs LHBs with MN this year was the reason we got him. I get that, but it's hard to put the blame on JF for why Abad went from .712 vs RHBs in MN to .917 here.
  7. Great points, and severely negatively judging the Sox on the TBall pick is not recognizing the odds of hitting pay dirt with a top 10 pitcher drafted. Here are our top pitchers or top 38 picked-pitchers drafted each year: 2016: 12 Groome 2015: 171 Lakins 2014: 33 Kopech 2013: 7 TBall 2012: 31 Johnson/37 Light 2011: 19 Barnes/36 Owens 2010: 39 Ranaudo 2009: 77 A Wilson 2008: 30 Kelly 2007: 55 Hagadone 2006: 28 Bard 2005: 26 Hansen (42 Buchholz) 2004: 3rd round A Dobies 2003: 2nd round A Alvarez 2002: 2nd round J Lester We've only had 3 pitchers drafted in the top 20 over this period....only 2 in the top 12.
  8. Maybe he pinch hits or pinch runs him tonight and tomorrow night, and he gets his first start on Sunday.
  9. I agree- totally. I think Young might be more valuable than what we may think, depending on who we have at DH next year. He's a lefty killer.
  10. The biggest issue I have with Farrell is he seems to have a tough time assigning roles in the pen. That's expected when whenever you try someone new, they suck or get hurt. You try to ride the "hot hand" but with the Sox, we haven't really had many. The only things I might have tried differently are to use Ross more and giving Hembree a longer look. Maybe bring Kelly up before now.
  11. Abad has faced 17 LHBs and 30 RHBs, so on the surface you appear to be right, but over his career, he has faced 663 RHBs and 492 LHBs. He was a starter once, so thoise numbers might not be fair. How about this year with MN? 86 vs RHBs 52 vs LHBs Why the 2.65 ERA with MIN and the 6.30 ERA with Boston? Is that really all JF's fault? He's using him at almost the exact same ratio as MN used him. vs RHBs: 64% to 62%. In 2015, the A's used him vs LHBs (110) more than RHBs (95) and these were the results: vs LHBs: .859 OPS vs RHBs: .753 OPS In 2014, he also did better vs RHPs (.475 in 116 PAs to .527 in 100 PAs) Sounds like JF is really not to blame for Abad sucking.
  12. Our pen sucks. Injuries are a major factor, but the fact is, beyond Kimbrel and Ziegler, JF has no "real" choices that are bound to make him look good. When the season started, I thought we had a top 5 or 6 pen in MLB. Smith's whole season loss hurt a lot, and I guess we should have expected Uheara to decline or get hurt, but those two long injuries killed any chance of us having a plus pen. I wanted JF let go at the end of last season. I do not like his style or some of his choices, but I find it hard to blame him on pen usage when almost any choice he could make is a losing one.
  13. Yes, I should have added the disclaimer, but it does give a general sense of where we may be going forward, and where are strengths and weakness may be. It's weird how they have Wright in the rotation in 2017 and 2019 but not 2018. I guess the departure of Pomeranz opened up his slot again. They now have Pablo at 3B next year with Moncada at AAA. They list "acquisition" in the DH slot, instead of Young or HanRam.
  14. The system hasn't worked that well in the pitching department. The scouts and men at the top have changed over the years, so I'm not sure we can say the system we have in place this minute is not conducive to proper pitcher development. Espi, Kopech and Groome will be the future examples of how well Sox management has done in choosing (Espi, Groome, TBall and Kopech) and developing (Groome, Kopech & TBall) our pitching prospects. I'm not saying we have reason to be optimistic, but I think the extreme pessimism may be unfounded.
  15. Being a Red Sox fan from 1970 to 2003 was not difficult - the team was almost always good! There was heartbreak which stinks - and some years stunk even more. The reason it was so easy to yammer about a curse is that the Red Sox WERE good - the idea that they would get to Game 7 four different times and lose is mystifying. But I'd recommend that being an Expos fan was slightly harder during that time frame - the angst of the pre-curse Sox fan (let alone post) is why other fan bases hate us. They were fun to watch, and GM/manager bashing became an art for most Sox fans, but it was very difficult to me. Heart break is not easy. I agree, it's not easy going through a summer when your team is 8-15 down by July, but the sweetness of victory quickly washes away all that pain for me..
  16. Im hoping Farrell stops screwing around and put pitchers in their proper roles and starts using them correctly. Maybe Joe Kelly can help our pen out. I think he just needed a little time to get used to a bullpen role again. He was pretty good in that role with St.Louis. I'm not a JF fan, but I don't think he has many options or choices. My guess is, if he uses Kelly and he blows a game, people will again call for his head.
  17. AL pitching 2nd half: WAR 6.3 BOS 5.8 HOU 5.7 TEX 5.4 NYY 5.4 TOR ERA- 81 DET 81 TBR 84 KCR 85 BOS 88 NYY 90 TOR 91 TEX Starter 2nd half ERA- 82 DET 82 BOS 86 TBR 87 KCR 91 TOR WORST RP'er WHIP: 1.47 CWS 1.43 MIN 1.39 BOS 1.37 BAL
  18. Yes, duly noted. My bad.
  19. What about how the numbers would look, if everyone was pro-rated to 700 PAs (Approx): Leon .350 25 102 Ortiz .313 43 140 Betts .320 37 120 J B Jr .273 33 113 Bogey .306 22 100 Pedey .323 16 80 H Ram .281 27 118 Young .268 25 80 Shaw .248 21 92 And people thought our offense was going to have too many "black holes"!
  20. Leon has now passed Vaz in PAs as our catcher. That gives our top 9 players these numbers: 1.022 Ortiz .976 Leon .924 Betts .856 JBJ .843 Pedey .825 HanRam .813 Bogey .746 Shaw .722 Holt Young is 8 PAs from Vaz as out 10th place PA guy and has an .834 OPS. How about the splits? vs RHPs (100+ PAs) 1.078 Ortiz .941 Betts .926 JBJ .883 Leon .853 Pedey .793 Bogey .779 Shaw .774 Holt .735 HanRam .735 Young .539 Vaz (Beni was at .969 in 55 PAs) vs LHPs (60+ PAs) 1.164 Leon 1.095 HanRam 1.005 Young .893 Bogey .860 Betts .856 Ortiz .802 Pedey .671 JBJ .628 Shaw Vaz .771 in 35 PAs, Hill .653 in 48 PAs, Holt .339 in 37 PAs
  21. What a tough schedule we have coming up. That's one thing that makes our recent 3-3 home stand hurt. 3 @ OAK and 3 @ SD should be winnable, but we have not done all that well on the road. Even if we go 5-1 or 4-2, we'll have our work cut out for us down the homes stretch: 3 @ TOR 3 vs BAL 4 vs NYY 4 @ BAL 3 @ TBR 3 @ NYY 3 vs TOR That's 7 vs BAL and NYY, 6 vs TOR and 3. vs TBR. It's tough for Toronto and Baltimore too!
  22. He's been about average. Hill is a plus, but your point is well taken. Moncada would have to be really bad to make a big difference.
  23. oops
  24. I'll guess 42.
  25. You're right. It seems like longer. Not a bad trade even though Lars Anderson's stock had already fallen by then. You know what is really strange? After Papi retires and assuming Taz bolts and Buch too, Wright will have the second highest 40 man roster seniority behind Pedey! Even if Buch and Taz return, he'll be the 4th man by seniority (when added to the 40 man roster). Holt is next. What a massive roster overhaul since July 2012.
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