Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
I get the idea of xFIP trying to separate thy luck from the game, but I feel it favors strike out pitchers over pitchers who get more batters out.
I like to look at xFIP, but I value ERA-,WHIP & OPS against more.
K/W ratio is typically a very good indicator of pitching success.
Personally, I've always thought K's were over-rated. What good is it for Price to get all those K's, if batters are hitting him well, because he's always around or in the strike zone?
Sox starters:
WAR
2.9 Price
2.6 Porcello
2.3 Wright
xFIP
3.25 Pricde
4.00 Porcello
4.31 Wright
K-BB%
21.1 Price
16.1 Porcello
11.7 Wright
Really? Do any of the above numbers really show who our best pitcher has been this year?
While I do value WAR and xFIP, my favorite pitcher starts are ...
ERA-
60 Wright
80 Porcello
101 Price
and...
WHIP
1.15 Wright
1.15 Porcello
1.28 Price
OPS against
.601 Wright
.699 Porcello
.745 Price
I think my stats tell a better story of 2016.
Let's look at 2014 to 2016 (250+ IP). Which list better represents who the top pitchers have been? (In order top down)
A- Kershaw, Syndergaard, Stasburg, Arrieta, Carrasco, Kluber, Sale, deGrom, Price, Scherzer
B- Kershaw, Arrieta, Greinke, Cueto, Sale, deGrom, Lester, Felix, Scherzer, Hamels
C- Kershaw, Arrieta, Scherzer, Greinke, Sale, Bumgarner, Carrasco, Cueto, Tanaka, deGrom
I think B is best followed by C.
Answer:
A is xFIP
B is ERA-
C is WHIP