Cards fan here. Reading this topic really brought home how little I know about the Sox. And how little you know about the Cardinals. But analyzing stats and making optimistic predictions is fun. You all have a pretty good overview on the Cards as a team, generally. But allow me to give you a heads up on them specifically.
Most dangerous hitter in the clutch is NOT Allen Craig. It's Molina. If he had batted 3rd or 4th, (instead of 5th) and was not a catcher to limit his playing time, he would easily have led the league in RBI.
Wainwright is not the ace. Wacha is.
Rosenthal is not the hardest reliever to hit. Martinez is. Rosie is always around the zone, whereas Martinez is a tad wild. He will bounce one a foot outside and then paint the black at 100mph. It's hard for the hitter to get comfortable.
Matt Holliday, batting 3rd, is actually the 5th best hitter on the team. Despite his decent looking numbers, he is by far the EASIEST Cardinal to strike out or GIDP. (led the NL) He is NOT a money player.
Big Matt Adams: Reminiscent of Boog Powell, this kid is a masher. However, the NL employed an odd shift to deal with him. The 2nd baseman would drop back to short RF, and Matt did hit hard line drives to him for easy outs. Matt made adjustments with some success, but his HR's were greatly reduced.
Matt Carpenter is a doubles machine (55) and will be a problem for the Sox.
David Freese can still come up with a clutch hit, but is not the same player you remember from the 2011 WS.
Jon Jay in CF is probably in the running for the worst in baseball, and he hits like s*** too. Bench player, Shane Robinson is better, but Matheny does not seem to think so. However, the St. Louis fans and media have been making a lot of noise lately, and Matheny may have to crack and put him in. Robinson is a burner. Very hard to stop on the bases unless stifled by Matheny and his station to station approach.
The man to watch is Carlos Beltran. As you know, very dangerous in the playoffs, but it's unknown how he does in the WS.
The manager Matheny: A baby clone of the incredibly over rated LaRussa. He likes to award outs after leadoff dbls with bunts... Dbl. switches EVERY single time he can.... A terrible bullpen manager. Will yank a lights out pitcher at the drop of a hat for the L/R ********. Boston's best shot at winning will be on Kelly and Lyne who are 5 to 6 inning pitchers. Get to the pen early, and watch Matheny get into a switching frenzy!
Bench: Its extremely weak. The only decent hitter is Matt Adams, who is STARTING. You won't see much of this bench except in mop up situations.
Of course you know that Cards fans are fairly slobbering at the chance for 2004 payback. But there isn't a single Card on this team from that season. I don't think it's an issue at all for the players. They just want to keep winning.
But they DO have a sensational "Phoenix crushing" story line: Pirates....rise from the 20 year ashes, crushed. The Dodgers....mired in last place before the ASB and roared to 1st place...crushed! The Boston Red Sox....from the ashes of last place to Pennant winners. Crushed?? LOL, we shall see.
My prediction: If the Cards win game 1, they win it in 6. If Boston wins game 1, the series will go to 7 and who knows who wins it!? OK, thanks for reading my rambling.