Once again, all I can say is that I more or less agree with the majority of what has been said. Do I think Bard can make for a nice starter? Sure. He will need to keep adding more strings to his bow, and there will be bumps in the road in the early going, but he has the great size and arm to be a quality starter. When you look at it in context with the rest of the rotation though, all we really need from him (especially in 2012) is to be good enough to be the 4th or (if we acquire an experienced guy) the 5th starter in the rotation. I see no reason why he can't do that, even if it does take him some time to adjust to the role. Do I think that they WILL use him as a starter? I'm pretty confident that they will. The only way that I can see them not using him as a starter is if they get active on the trade/free-agent market and bring in some more experienced guys, because with the lineup that we have now, Bard and Aceves are pretty much all we have to rely on after the main three guys (Beckett, Lester and Buchholz).
As for the impact on the pen, I think we should be ok. Losing Papelbon sucked, but Bailey is younger and is an All-Star quality closer, and should at least go a long way towards filling Papelbon's shoes. As for Bard's now-vacated role as a setup guy, we have another young guy who I think has plenty of talent in Melancon. Now I'm not going to say for 100% certainty that Melancon/Bailey will replace Bard/Papelbon, but I feel confident that they have the talent to do so, and will only get better as the season wears on and they get more of a feel for pitching at Fenway. So if you assume for the sake of making this argument simple that Melancon/Bailey will replace Bard/Papelbon, then it would appear that we have, more or less, covered those two losses with two new guys who can get the job done. When you look at it that way, the pen really shouldn't be hit too hard by Bard becoming a starter. The thing that I can see really hurting our depth in the pen is if Aceves is forced to become the 5th starter. That would really be a hit to our relief depth. That is why I'm hoping and praying that we sign an established starter, even if just for one season so as to give ourselves money to spend next year. It would mean that Bard could learn the job as the 5th starter on the depth chart, and it would also mean that Aceves would stay in the pen, which in my opinion at least, is a big plus.