The last time Buch pitched was June 8th. The next time he is scheduled to even try to throw is Thursday this week. So That is 40 days down and he will not be ready to pitch IF Thursday goes well. Six weeks down and if Thursday does goes well I would guess another three weeks to get back his arm strength. So assuming Thursday goes well, he will have three weeks of work that Buch will have to survive. Given his rather fragile nature, I would not have much confidence in Buch's ability to get through that process without another glitch occurring somewhere along the way. If he tried to rush three weeks into two, it just exacerbates the situation.
At the next level of concern, even if he survives three weeks of getting back to what he needs to be just to pitch ML ball, he started the season as strong and as capable as we have ever seen him. So even surviving, if he does, I don't hold out much hope that he will be that pitcher again this year anyway.
If Thursday goes well and every day after Thursday goes well Buch will have taken himself off the mound for 9 weeks minimum. If Thursday or any day after Thursday is a problem then you turn back the clock again to Thursday July 18th and start all over again.
This is why I would not have shut him down completely. Buch has just walked himself down this road that has basically destroyed his season.
If Buch continues to struggle with this thing, tossing him out there in the playoffs, having missed everything up to the playoffs is going to be the cut the cards gamble of all time.
So, based on how this has gone so far, would you bet that Buch will not suffer any further set backs through what will now be a fairly long process, much like ST? If he is incapable of hitting his self proclaimed mark (100%), would you toss him out there in the post season? If so, you would be riding on a wing and a prayer cause he would have missed too much time to depend on him at that point.
This is really my point. Buch has basically caused himself just as much and maybe more personal loss and will have cost the team in ways that will likely make it hard for him to continue here.
1) He has tossed what remained of his regular season down the drain. Nothing short of a miracle will recover that.
2) He has put post season participation in jeopardy especially if he does not take the mound until then as nobody should or would have confidence that he would just go out there and perform under those circumstances
3) He has put his entire career at risk since every right thinking GM will consider him a pitcher of great potential that simply cannot stay on the field. He will have been given years of rope all now wrapped around his neck and be in a pickle even worse than Josh Johnson's similar predicament.
4) He will likely force the Sox hand as far as his remaining a front line pitcher pitcher is concerned. This has been years now of the same thing over and over again.
Frankly, although his situation might only be marginally better, depending on what this damned injury actually is, his predicament could very well be better had he pitched cautiously through this period. He would not have to go through what in effect will be a second ST. He would have at least retained some level of respect from GM's along the lines of how they would feel about John Lackey now. Again unless I know what the damned injury actually is, I can't really say definitively one way or the other. However he is the guy that keeps talking about "discomfort" and "not feeling right". Does not sound all that dramatic to me. By the way I doubt this is a bursa sac injury. You CAN further damage a bursa sac by continuing to inflame the area. Doctors have already said he would not hurt it further throwing with it. So, it can't be a bursa sac injury.
The alternative of simply saying his season was over weeks ago was probably not considered because of a number of factors similar to those mentioned above. Buch has used up all his rope. Too many seasons of "same s***, different day".