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Will617

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Everything posted by Will617

  1. Whew, saved by a broken bat, that guy had a good hack on it.
  2. Salty has been disappointing - he hasn't looked confident at the plate. Hopefully that'll turn around during the season.
  3. It really doesn't look like he has his best stuff today. I wouldn't worry about it until May, though.
  4. I wish that Lowrie had at least got a shot at the starting job. I like Scutaro, but I think that Lowrie deserved a shot.
  5. Yeah, I'm on a friend's computer right now. Best acquisition of the offseason, or best acquisition of the offseason?
  6. Pedro, Clemens. After that? Lester.
  7. While I understand the point that you're trying to make, I feel like you could do this exercise with a lot of pitchers in the league and get the same results.
  8. Sure, I understand that durability is a factor in pitchers' value, I'm just pointing out that a high WAR does not necessarily mean good performances. All of those indicators suffer from lack of sample size. It's possible that those numbers are a sign of a turnaround, but it's also just as possible that it was just luck over a couple of months (or over a few games against the same team). To be perfectly honest, I was never a fan of the Lackey signing and I don't think that he's going to outperform his 2010 numbers by a ton. I think that he will improve, but I don't expect him to be outside the 3.5-4 ERA range going forward (not that it's bad, but I don't think that he's the ace people expected him to be).
  9. WAR is cumulative, he had a decent WAR simply because he pitched a lot last season. WAR is interesting and useful, it's just not quite complete/predictive yet, and can be misleading if used in the wrong contexts.
  10. Buchholz really doesn't deserve to be mentioned in the conversation for top-5. I think Lester is borderline, I would put him in but I might be biased. Same with CC (except I don't think CC is a top-5 pitcher going forward). Jimenez could be in the discussion, I don't think that Kershaw is (not that he's a bad pitcher, I just think the other guys are a tier above).
  11. I feel like Josh Johnson or Wainwright (had he not blew out his arm) could deserve to be on that list. I like Lester a lot, and I think he's underrated, but I'm not sure whether he deserves a spot in the top 5. Top 10, definitely. Lincecum has some concerns that would make me hesitate before putting him on the list, but if you're looking at the recent history more than trying to project than he definitely deserves to be there.
  12. $13 mil a year isn't exactly an insane contract. No one expects him to hit 50 HRs again, and he's not getting paid like the Jays expect him to. There are signs that his power (at least, some of it) is sustainable - reports of getting a mechanical flaw fixed right before he started hitting for power about a year-and-a-half ago. It's a calculated gamble, but one that AA has to take in order to compete in the AL East. If it works out, it helps the Jays; if he hadn't signed Bautista and Bautista cranked 30 HRs, the Jays wouldn't really have any chance of building a contender; and if it doesn't work out, well the Jays probably wouldn't be a contender without an effective Bautista. Also, Youkilis never eclipsed 16 HRs before his breakout (powerwise) 2008, and he was rewarded with a contract after that year. Obviously, it's not the same situation as Bautista (less money, fewer homeruns, better defense) but it's not impossible that Bautista just found his power stroke later in his career.
  13. Jed Lowrie 2011 for shortstop.
  14. Edwin Encarnacion? The guy's nickname is E6 for a reason.
  15. There are a lot of people in the MLB that could be on pace for a HoF career. It's not really about how good you were when you were at your best, but about how well you can do late in your career. Of the current Sox players, I do think that Lester and Pedroia have the best chances of getting in. I doubt Ortiz will come close, he has the taint of using PEDs and hasn't had an overall career good enough to be a HoFer. If Papelbon manages to return to the pitcher he was 2-3 years ago, I think he has a shot.
  16. Exactly what Beckett didn't need...hopefully he'll have enough time to prepare for the season and remain injury-free.
  17. Wow, it's sold out already? I was hoping to catch a game here if I was stuck for the summer...guess not.
  18. It's a joke to call some of the soccer clubs "businesses". The only big club that seems to be making money is Arsenal; meanwhile, clubs like Barca need to take out more loans, and then go out and buy David Villa (to replace Ibra, who they spent like 60 million euros total to get in the first place). FIFA better enforce the fair play rules when they come into effect. Some teams would not be anywhere near competitive if they weren't running huge losses (like, Chelsea or Man City).
  19. I still think that Reddick has the potential to make it some day - he did bounce back pretty well last season - but this job is Kalish's to lose, and it's not exactly close at the moment. I think that Reddick's (lack of) ability to get on-base will hurt his ML prospects, as pitchers will just eat him alive given how aggressive he is at the plate.
  20. Baseball doesn't have a wage cap, whereas in football and basketball players won't be making that much money. The fact that you have to buy players definitely affects the price too. If there is a player that makes 300,000 pounds a week, that's about 15-16 million pounds a year, or pretty close to $25 million. So it's not exactly that far off.
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