I think your arb estimates may be a bit low. Final seasons are usually market value and if Bogaerts continues to massacre the ball, he will be more in the $15 mil range. I also foresee Bradley not sucking for the whole year. If he is a .750OPS player by years end, he will crack $10 mil. Betts should be right on especially since he is looking like an MVP candidate right now. Even with the $47 mil from Pablo, Moreland and Hanley coming off the books, the sox need to avoid long term deals next offseason. This year, you lose Kimbrel and Pom. You could find a cheaper version to close if need be and Pom looks pretty bad right now, so you might not be missing much. Next season, you will have to decide on Sale and Bogaerts. If Bogey keeps playing like he has been, then he is pricing himself into the elite category, near the $25 mil AAV club. Sale will clearly look to exceed Price's record as well. You might have some cash to spend for minor upgrades, but you wont be able to lock in anyone for more than 1 season.