When you subtract Kimbrel and Kelly, you subtract an elite closer and semi reliable pen arm. When you subtract Wright and Johnson and move Velazquez to the rotation, you lose any multi inning depth you had. When you replace them with Brewer and ???, you create a depth problem. This forces guys who aren’t suited for high leverage roles to be pushed into high leverage roles. This is why you saw Hembree in a tied game and Brewer in a tied game only to blow it. You’ve got two reliable pen arms. Walden is showing good signs early, maybe he becomes a third. The rest are a conglomerate of dumpster fires. I know you brought up Lakins. Who knows how he fares. I know you had Hernandez up, but I expect him to go to Portland and work on being a starter. But as of now, if your starter doesn’t go seven and hand over a lead, it’s a crap shoot as to whether you’ll make it to the reliable part of the pen. This is why every win you’ve had has been close.