Spotrac also doesn’t count in medicals IIRC. I ran this earlier in the year, but if the whole gang returns minus Moreland, Pearce, Holt, Leon, Hembree and Porcello, the Sox should have something like $30 mil before hitting the top cap. Letting go of Bradley allows a reset.
But let’s say the Sox keep the band together, jettison Bradley and force a reset. That gives you precisely nothing. Your offense will be sharp, even with Mitch and Holt moving on. But the pitching...
Sale is hurt right now and was diminished all season. He’s not the guy you can hand the ball to and expect it back after seven strong with the lead. And his elbow treatment isn’t exactly proven to have great results. The guys who get the PRP for minor tears don’t usually come back with the same velocity and Sale was already showing signs of a velo decline. And that’s assuming it doesn’t fail and he ends up in Dr Andrews office next month and on the shelf for 2020
Price is going to have a procedure done on his pitching wrist. He’s shown a further loss of velocity and durability. He’s now spent a ton of time on the DL in 2 of the last 3 seasons. This year he couldn’t even average 5IP per start. And he’s 34. You’re not seeing vintage Price walk through that door. He’s a 4 or 5 right now assuming his wrist issue gets fixed with no lingering effects
ERod has really blossomed into your ace. He’s not a standard lockdown ace, but he’s learned how to lead a rotation. Interestingly, he’s always been a guy who underperformed his peripherals with FIPs and xFIPs typically below his actual ERA. This year, he’s dropped the K rate which has hurt his peripherals but his actual ERA is better and he’s added length to his starts by pitching to more contact. He’s found far more success as a FB-CU-CH guy the last two seasons. He’s a guy who you’d have no issue with in your rotation, especially toward the top
Eovaldi is a train wreck. Injured, bad results mixed in with intermittent dominant performances. Welcome to the Nate Eovaldi show. I watched it for a couple years in the Bronx. Tantalizing stuff but made of glass and surprisingly hittable for a guy who can throw like him. Hes a wish and a prayer and I’m so glad he is not in the Bronx anymore!
Your rotation has literally one guy you can count on. You’ve got three health questionmarks and those same three guys come with inconsistent performance questions too.
Your pen has seen Workman blossom into a good reliever. Everyone else back there is either on borrowed time (Walden), is too wild (DHern) or has issue with the spotlight (Barnes).
So you need another starter at least, probably multiple pen additions and you’re at the reset minus JBJ. You’re going to force JDM into the OF or have another OFer out there that drops your offensive production. How do you align those puzzle pieces with a farm system that is on life support with the priest in the room?
I honestly don’t know how Henry can look at his chances for 2020 and think they’re good enough to invest more money. I think he’s smart enough to see the window closed, they followed good money with bad money and they’re stuck trying to rebuild. The Sox now remind me of the post 2012 Yankees. Overpaid team full of guys past their prime in need of a rebuild