That is a very questionable statement with a lot of if's. If RJ is completely healthy, if RJ finds his fastball and slider, if the yankees get clemens, if Pavano is as healthy as they say, if, if, if. This statement above is far from a certainty in any way.
so is RJ and Schilling. Mussina last yr embraced his lack of velocity for the first time in his career. He changed himself from someone who is flat out dominant when the velocity is up to a consistently good starter. He wont be a hit or miss guy. He'll give consistent production so long as he gets on the field. Dont expect a bunch of shutouts or complete games, but dont bank on his production being a sine wave.
Completely wrong. Pettitte's "cranky elbow" only had him at a 2.8 era coming down the stretch, which would contradict those who thought his elbow was getting worse. And that bad elbow hasnt required surgery since 2004, and allowed him to make 68 starts over the past 2 yrs.
you are right. His #s are going to bump. But who is the real pettitte. The guy who was a 2.39ERA in 05 or 2.80 ERA down the stretch or the 5.28ERA he posted pre-allstar. Either one, he will expect a bump in those numbers. He is far from a certainty in production, but from his track record, he'll be in the 4's and give us 200 innings, which is more than what RJ was gonna give us.
nor does he need to be. He is being relied upon as a 4. As I have said before, I have no idea what his production will be. But he has a history of averaging 200IP over the last 6 yrs, so at least he'll take the mound for us and give us innings.
See this is where you continue to buy the hype. This isnt Aaron Small or Shawn Chacon beating all of the odds with s*** stuff. This is a guy with a 95mph CONSISTENT sinker with sick bite. He throws it nearly every pitch. He isnt going to change. Last yr was his second in the bigs and still nobody adjusted. So long as he throws that thing over the plate, he will be fine. Obviously there are seasonal variations in ERA, but dont bank on a precipitous drop in production.
The Yankee rotation doesnt need to strike fear in anyone. Their offense and back end of the pen will. This team needs consistent production from the rotation. Nothing spectacular as they arent expected to carry the team. But they will need to get 900+ innings out of them and then good things will happen.
This rotation doesnt have the expectations or the pressure on them like the sox rotation does. The sox will live and die by their rotation. The offense is good, but it isnt 03-05 good and the bullpen needs to be used as little as possible.