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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. http://yankees.lohudblogs.com/ Colter Bean is one of the strangest players I have ever seen. A guy who has dominated AAA for 3 seasons yet never gets the call because of his age (29) and his velocity (mid to high 80s). Bean is a sidewinder for the most part who figures to be a RH specialist or a mopup man if used. Chances are, after the game, Britton will be sent down for Karstens, then Wright will be sent down for Wang on Tuesday. Bean may be with the club until Friday, which is the projected return date for Mike Mussina.
  2. Damon: Is it truly inconceivable to think Damon could hit .300? Is it truly inconceivable to consider that he could sustain the SLG he had FOR THE ENTIRE SEASON last yr. He has hit .300 4 times before and as recently as 2005. And his SLG, he has had a BETTER SLG than this one twice in the last 3 yrs. Your point here is wrong. The only way you can absolutely say that something is unsustainable is if they havent proven they could do it before. And Damon has done it on multiple occasions both times. Cano's OBP is 20 points below his career average. Jeter's OBP is something you could argue will stay where it is, you are correct. Wrong on Cano, potentially right on Jeter. wait, now you are bringing age into it. OR, maybe it is because Giambi nearly ALWAYS starts off like s***. Oh no, his slow start will be sustainable, but nobody's hot streaks are? Cmon ORS, you are better than that. As for Abreu's SLG, his was 50 points higher last yr than it was this yr. Are you serious? Age for a guy who just turned 33? Weak. Cano's BA and Slugging will increase. Cano had a full season right around .300 and a full season at .340. It is insane to think that he will flounder in the .260s based off his past numbers. And his slugging? The guy has hit 14 and 15 homers in the past 2 yrs yet has none to this point and has only 2 EBH when he had 34 and 41 doubles alone the past 2 seasons. Thinking he will stay this poor is wishful thinking at its best. and this one is a beaut. I give you that the dropoff expected from ARod is a large magnitude, but name me one other player who's projected dropoff is of a large enough magnitude to offset the loss of Matsui, Abreu's and Giambi's slumping power, Cano's disappearing act, and Jeter's total lack of SLG to this point. Face it, our offense is actually playing worse than what it is capable of. But dont let that get in your way of what you believe. EDIT: I also highly doubt that our composite 1b hits .200/.285/.320/.605 for the whole yr.
  3. Damon- .300AVG is right about normal and is conceivable that he could kep it up. His .440OBP is above last seasons and his career, he wont keep that up. His SLG of .475 is slightly below where it was last season. As for Damon, the only thing I'd say for certain is that his OBP will drop. Jeter- .323 is below where he was last yr and is conceivable to be continued. His .391OBP is 20 points lower than what it was last yr and is right where his career is. His .371SLG is well below career lines. Abreu- His .345AVG is not sustainable. But his .406OBP is 6 points lower than his career OBP and his .414SLG is well below career averages. It is possible that he could lower his BA, increase his OBP, SLG and his OPS. Right now, he is underachieving aside from singles. ARod- out of his mind in all aspects. The only thing that is sustainable is his .418OBP Giambi- His avg is right where it was last yr. His OBP is WAY below his normal, about 60 points. His SLG is well below his last yrs total too. Conceivably, Giambi should increase his OBP and SLG. Posada- AVG, OBP, and SLG are up. AVG is WAY up, OBP up 19 points from last yr, SLG up 37 points from last yr. We should see a regression in all phases from Posada Cano- His AVG, OBP, and SLG are WAY below where he was last yr or the yr before. Matsui- hasnt played aside from 3 games. He is way better than Melky offensively Minky/Phelps- Phelps is playing well, nobody really knows what he can bring and Dougie is well below his average. I'd assume they both will average out like this. So in all.... What should drop 1. Damon's OBP 2. Abreu's BA 3. ARod's AVG 4. ARod's SLG 5. Posada's AVG 6. Posada's SLG 7. Posada's OBP What should get better 1. Jeter's OBP 2. Jeter's SLG 3. Abreu's SLG 4. Giambi's OBP 5. Giambi's SLG 6. Cano's AVG 7. Cano's SLG 8. Cano's OBP 9. LF (Matsui for Melky)'s AVG 10. LF (Matsui for Melky)'s OBP 11. LF (Matsui for Melky)'s SLG What should be sustainable 1. Damon's AVG 2. Damon's SLG 3. Jeter's AVG 4. Abreu's OBP 5. ARod's OBP 6. Giambi's AVG 7. 1b's AVG 8. 1b's SLG 9. 1b's OBP So in all, assuming there are 27 phases of the yankees' offense, 7 should regress, 11 should improve and 9 should stay the same. So, you are wrong ORS.
  4. he is right, if we lose ARod we have some serious problems with matchups. Posada would move up to cleanup so he could breakup the lefty bumblef***.
  5. I agree that Mussina and the like arent dominant pitchers. But even when they are at their worst, they still dont pull a Redding and knock you out of the game early. The point is, is our rotation good enough to keep us in the game nearly every night? Is our rotation, when healthy, capable of throwing 6 innings per start? If both are true, then this team is relying on their pen (which needs to decrease its workload) and offense to win games. And our lineup against most teams starters will dominate. I guess it is 6 in one hand, half dozen in another, but I have seen this team operate in the reg. season for far too long.
  6. he wont get anything more than 20 mil a season on the open market. He is going to be 32 and likely will command a deal that takes him to 39 or 40.
  7. Kilo, as much as I like to disagree with Gom, I share his sentiments. I mean seriously, we have Jeff Karstens, Chase Wright, AND Darrell Rasner in our rotation. Take away Mussina, Pavano, and Wang and you lose 3 guys who (when they actually pitch) can average 6IP per start. In no way do I think our rotation can put up the numbers yours is right now, but it can at least give us a bunch of QS's, average 6IP and keep us in the game. And over the long haul, from when we get our personnell back, I wouldnt be surprised if 1-5 we match your team's rotation. Just right now your rotation is unconscious good. They'll revert to norms. As I said when our entire rotation went on sabbatical, you HAD to pull away. If you sweep this series and win the next, then your distance may be enough to keep you in the lead into a July-August dogfight. If we stay 1-2 games away until our rotation comes around, we will pull away. And not in head to head. But against the Tampa Bays and KC's of the world who wont be able to keep up with our murderer's row. I mean take a look at the Guardians series. Our rotation held them in check until our offense exploded in the first 2 games and by the time their offense got the opportunity to strike it was over. In the last game, their offense exploded, but our came right back and stole the game. Your team has the top 3 and the closer with an offense that seems to be hot or cold. Our team doesnt have the top heavy rotation per se, but a rotation that, when healthy, can give a QS 50-70% of the time and keep em close enough the other 30-50%. With a bullpen that is very deep and an offense that is really something. Head to head, I think we may split the 18 games this yr. But against the rest of the league, we will batter mpst pitchers that arent far and away aces and hold the leads once we get em. It is a recipe for a solid regular season. The postseason is where our troubles could rise, and that all depends on the development of our rotation, with Hughes/Clemens or without.
  8. the credit goes to your starting rotation.
  9. right now I dont have any problem with arod. But I was a big basher of his and will again if he shrinks back into his hole. I didnt criticize him for results per se, but his utter lack of testicular fortitude. He would give away at bats late in games. Flail at pitches early in the count and not protect the plate and a big spot would crumble. I would have been glad just to see him work pitchers in the clutch. I never expected this.
  10. you very well could win animal. I dont like predicting these games other to say that you will win Sunday as DiceK will dominate us 1st time around.
  11. if you have the last name you should be able to say that your mom bought it for you.
  12. Drew got 14mil over 5 yrs.
  13. http://rmfo-blogs.com/jaymcpherson/wp-content/uploads/picture.jpg Schilling looks like a fat middle aged woman. Watch for hot flashes. http://www.minniepauz.com/golf.jpg
  14. 19 games vs each of the ALE opponents.
  15. bring your mom's credit card.
  16. yes they will be. Steinny payed a grand total of 30mil for the yankees 30 yrs ago. He has increased the team's value 40 fold in 30 yrs. Not too bad.
  17. pssst. Bud Light is a yankee fan.
  18. ARod has NEVER hit like this. 1 for 5, a walkoff homer? Typically he hits the homer in the 1st and K's in the big spot. Even in april.
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