We really need to wait until the actual plea occurs...it depends on what he pleads guilty to. Normally, plea deals involve other charges being dropped. It helps the State because they don't have to finance a trial, and it helps the pleader (?) by allowing him to take a lesser penalty. I would be shocked beyond all human comprehension of Vick gets any more than two years. If he was legitimately facing up to 40 years, what would be his motivation to plea? There would be absolutely none. He's going to plead guilty to a few charges, a shitload of charges are going to be dropped and/or never charged, and he'll serve between ten months and two years. It's sad...but that's the way it'll go down. At least, I think. Obviously I could be wrong. I sure hope I am. Lock him up for 60 years for all I care.
You're right...Vick isn't a conventional QB. He has skills and talents that are unmatched by ANYONE that's ever played the game. (I know his stats...and I know he's not the "best" quarterback in football or anything...I'm just talking about his pure skill-set...there's no one else that's ever stepped on the field that can run a sub 4.4 40 and has one of the 3 or 4 strongest arms in the NFL.) Teams will take a flier on him, I really think that they will. Assuming Vick comes back when he's 30 or 31...that'll still give you 5 or 6 years of a legit QB. His career isn't over...I really don't think it is.
You know, it's funny...whenever I'd hear about Marcus Vick being your stereotypical hoodlum, I always wondered how one brother could be SO entirely screwed up and one on the straight and narrow (with or without herpes haha)...well, turns out Mike wasn't all this time. Makes a lot more sense.