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example1

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Everything posted by example1

  1. example1
    His control looks pretty bad, but his stuff actually looks explosive. He appears to be throwing pretty hard. Perhaps he will find his stuff and at least get 6 IP.
  2. example1
    He had a bad 1st inning against Seattle at home earlier this year, Jerry.
  3. example1
    me too man. :thumbsup:
  4. example1
    a get-me-over slider at 0-0. You're not attacking the plate man. I think he will get it together, but the question is how many runs score first?
  5. example1
    Big first out. Comebacker to Dice please. This inning will be the hiccup.
  6. example1
    He will work himself out of it, one way or another. That was a good FB on the outside corner.
  7. example1
    Just walk him and start over.
  8. example1
    ESTABLISH YOUR FASTBALL!!! They aren't going to swing at the nasty slider in the dirt if they don't think you can throw a straight strike.
  9. example1
    The ball hit the umpire, otherwise it would be at the backstop.
  10. example1
    Let's get a roll-over DP to Dustin. EDIT: nevermind.
  11. example1
    Ugh. He looks nervous.
  12. example1
    Unnecessary walk too. He needs to establish the strike zone early and not throw so damn many pitches if possible.
  13. example1
    If he was showing off in this past series then I will pass. The guy couldn't keep from swinging at the first pitch like a single-A player (same with Francoeur).
  14. example1
    But with the ebb and flow of a season the sox lead is bound to fluctuate. It is demoralizing for the Yankees to go on a huge run, cut into the lead, and immediately lose 3 games back to the Sox. It is like a marathon runner attempting to pass the leader and being held off, falling back to gain strength and attempting again. Teams can only have so many of those runs in them against a fluctuating 10ish game lead, and I bet the Yankees have about 2 or 3 more such runs left. At this point the Sox are definitely in the driver's seat.
  15. example1
    1. On BDD they had the MLB power rankings. http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/john_donovan/06/18/power.rankings/index.html?eref=nbc_sports I don't usually pick from BDD but occasionally they have good links. Anyway: 1. Angels 2. Red Sox How do people think these teams compare? Personally, I feel pretty confident taking the Sox over the Angels. I like the top part of their rotation better and like their hitters better. The Sox even compete with the Angels in terms of a bullpen this season, particularly the back end of the pen. 2. How do people compare Pedroia and Cano? Who would you rather have? I love just about everything about Pedroia and think he is the superior player.
  16. example1
    Why not Brandon Moss? Is he just too young or what?
  17. example1
    Indeed, it is. An OBP machine. A: 23 (73% success-rate) AA: 21 (80%) AAA: 15 (82%) Reyes had 79% last year. One would have to weigh the loss when he gets thrown out because the team behind him is very good, but you also have to weigh the benefit of having a good team which can hit more singles, doubles and triples to get him around than the average team too. They are one of the numerous, but less significant things to get excited about. They do, however, make the difference when talking about where he hits in the lineup. He is and will continue to be a leadoff hitter.
  18. example1
    Jose Reyes had a career .338 OBP in 5 minor league seasons. This season he has a .399 OBP, easily a career high (last year he had a GREAT season, with a .354 OBP). In all those minor league seasons he never ONCE had a season or stint with a minor league team with an OBP above .359 (as a 17 year old in the rookie-league). While "struggling" at AAA, Ellsbury has a .362 OBP; and between AA and AAA he has a .408 OBP. I think people here are knowingly being conservative about his speed. This kid has amazing speed. Not 40 SB territory, but 60-70 SB territory. In 162 games, at the rate he stole bases in A, AA, and AAA, Ellsbury would have had 62, 84 and 73 stolen-bases respectively. The catchers will get better, but not THAT much better; especially given that Ellsbury is bound to become a better baserunner with experience. I leadoff with a guy like that. The desire to put youkilis at the top even if Ellsbury has a .380 OBP seems like a cute sabermetric move, but I don't think the Sox would do it.
  19. example1
  20. example1
    That is quite an accomplishment. Any idea who is starting?
  21. example1
    As soon as the player is on base I want it to be Ellsbury. He will be the best baserunner on the team by far, and probably one of the best in the league when he's through. He should be able to get on base at a .380 clip every year once he gets going and he should be one of the most exciting players in baseball once he's on and runs will be a product of it. Imagine a pitcher having to try to hold Ellsbury on with Youkilis or Ortiz at the dish in a 1 run game!
  22. example1
    Don't you think that if A-Rod leaves NY he'll be leaving as a SS? And getting paid as a SS?
  23. example1
    Statistical norms are based on the average team. Any team that Ellsbury would be hitting in front of would undoubtedly do more of the good things statistically than the average team. So, there will be more walks behind him (Pedroia and Youkilis), better power behind those walks (Ortiz, Ramirez) and better power behind those walks (Drew, Lowell, Varitek) than the average. In other words, more will happen when the runner is on base than with the average team. This is especially true if Youkilis is one of the guys doing the hitting. I would much rather have Youkilis trying to drive Ellsbury in than Ellsbury trying to drive Youkilis in. Despite their reliance on sabermetric principals I don't think the Sox are done looking for a high OBP, high speed guy to lead off. I don't think it is anti-sabermetric, it is just the best of both worlds. I don't think we're talking about leading off with juan pierre or scott podsednik here, and if that's what Ellsbury becomes then Youkilis is certainly the better option.
  24. example1
    I guess the question is how those 5 to 6 runs compares to the number of runs from Youkilis's extra .040 in OBP.
  25. example1
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