I know, kinda a fuzzy thing i said up there, what I meant was this, people see a contest like this and try to get the exact number that they believe but if 3 different people think that the sox will be at +3 +4 and +5 then those three people chances greatly decrease because they practically have to get a direct hit, where as if you base your guess on what other people have guessed and try to control as much of the board that is within a reasonable possiblity of happening , hence why I took the entire negative column I now know that if they get anything less than zero I automatically win which increases my chance of winning... It was just an observation.