Cleveland has to lose today so if we lose today and win tomorrow or lose tomorrow and today. We still have a chance to make Wild Card.
Boston Globe summarizes it well as I keep referring to it.
Playoff scenarios
October 1, 2005
The Red Sox tied the Yankees for first in the AL East with a 5-3 win last night and moved one game ahead of Cleveland in the wild-card standings after the Guardians' 3-2 loss to the White Sox. A look at the possibilities for the AL East and wild card going into the weekend (the White Sox have clinched the Central and the Angels the West):
If Sox 2-0 and Guardians 2-0:
Boston 96-66
NY 94-68
Cleveland 95-67
Red Sox win the East and would host the Guardians (wild card) Tuesday at Fenway.
If Sox 2-0 and Guardians 1-1:
Boston 96-66
NY 94-68
Cleveland 94-68
Red Sox win the East; Cleveland and New York would play a one-game tiebreaker Monday in Cleveland for the wild card. If Cleveland wins, it would open against the Sox at Fenway. If New York wins, the Yankees would open at Chicago and the Sox would host the Angels.
If Sox 2-0 and Guardians 0-2:
Boston 96-66
NY 94-68
Cleveland 93-69
Red Sox win the East and would host the Angels Tuesday; Yankees would be the wild card and play at Chicago.
If Sox 1-1 and Guardians 2-0:
Boston 95-67
NY 95-67
Cleveland 95-67
The Red Sox and Yankees play Monday in New York; the winner will be the AL East champion. The loser plays Cleveland Tuesday for the wild card. The Guardians would host the Yankees, but play at Boston.
If Sox 1-1 and Guardians 1-1:
Boston 95-67
NY 95-67
Cleveland 94-68
The Yankees win the AL East because of a better season-series record against the Red Sox (10-9) and the Sox will be the wild card and play at Chicago Tuesday.
If Sox 1-1 and Guardians 0-2:
Boston 95-67
NY 95-67
Cleveland 93-69
The Yankees win the AL East because of a better season-series record against the Red Sox (10-9) and the Sox would be the wild card and play at Chicago Tuesday.
If Sox 0-2 and Guardians 2-0:
NY 96-66
Boston 94-68
Cleveland 95-67
The Yankees win the AL East and the Guardians are the wild card.
If Sox 0-2 and Guardians 1-1:
NY 96-66
Boston 94-68
Cleveland 94-68
The Yankees win the AL East and the Red Sox host the Guardians Monday in a one-game playoff for the wild card.
If Sox 0-2 and Guardians 0-2:
NY 96-66
Boston 94-68
Cleveland 93-69
The Yankees win the AL East and the Red Sox are the wild card and open at Chicago Tuesday.