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oldtimer

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Everything posted by oldtimer

  1. I think your grasping at straws if you think gooing over the limit will make them competitive with the best AL teams. The straws I think you hope for are that Sale, Price and Eovaldi all have much better years. I think the probability of that happening is low, so would instead stick to the idea of a reset in 2020, taking the hit next year with the hope of recovering during the 2021 and 2022 seasons. A strong pitching staff is paramount in competing at the highest level and there is a low probability the Sox will be good in that regard. If there is anyway to clear the starting pitching logjam in 2020, I would head in that direction. I got back to my home in Florida and start playing softball again today. My goal is to lose the extra weight I gained on the European Cruise. Hope to be more successful than I think the Sox will be resetting while remaining competitive.
  2. The two reliable pitchers on the staff this year were E-Rod and Workman. I don't think Barnes fits the category of reliability and would let him go if we could get something for him. As far as JBJ, we know what he can do and $11 Mil for him is a luxury we can't afford. JDM's fate is in his hands. If he goes on his own, we may well have a different strategy with Betts, but under no circumstance so I think we should offer Betts, or any other player a 10 year contract. Perhaps Lindor will be available for $30 mil for 8 years, so there may be comparable choices.
  3. I would think they would want the new GM on board to participate in the key decisions that are soon to come. JDM, jbj, Betts and maybe some other surprises.
  4. I think his ground ball rate is very high and he pulls so is easy to defend with a shift. Part of his hitting woes.
  5. Thats what a Yankee supporter would like the Sox to do. Get rid of their best assets in hopes of finding better to rebuild with. I think it would be folly to lose the best young players and start with a fresh piece of paper.
  6. The article two days ago bySean Penney stated about our pitching staff; In order to bounce back next year, it’s going to take more than new additions and better health. The pitching staff needs a change in philosophy. The Red Sox plan on placing an emphasis on their pitchers attacking the strike zone. The idea is to pitch near the heart of the plate early in counts to get ahead rather than nibble around the edges to risk falling behind. Then a lot of information to expand on those thoughts. I don't think Schilling is the guy we need.
  7. I read that piece as Cora was an advocate of the more analytics based approach to pitch selection versus LaVangie who had been successful by studying film and deciding what hitters weaknesses were. Cora got a vote of confidence while LeVangie got reassigned. I'm left wondering if the poorer pitching performances of 2019 were an artifact of the weaknesses of our staff or the dated pitching coaching. ERod had a very good season with the same coaching as the other starters. It appears the Sox are headed in the direction of letting the analytics department determine the pitch selection. One is led to wonder that if one team analytics department can identify a best practice for pitch selection, an opposing teams analytics department can anticipate what the aproach will be and let the hitter know what to expect. It kind of like building counter measures into air to air rockets and have the planes develop counter-counter measures to anticipate and overcome them. In that regard, i speak from experience.
  8. Cole did and the Astro move along. Still the Rays were impressive for a team with a total competitive balance tax salary impact of $89 Mil. Would that our use of payroll would have been that efficient.
  9. We have Chavis, Dalbec, Duran, Chatham, Mata, Houck and others available for next year. I find it hard to believe that none will contribute to the club next season. If we are lucky maybe a couple of them will help us make the reset while keeping the club somewhat competitive. Bring on the new GM and start making moves aimed at 2020 and beyond.
  10. Now things have to be undone but I still think we should maintain as much competitiveness as possible while recovering from the hole that DD put the club into. The Sox may have waited to select a new GM until it became clear how available the Dodgers and/or Minnesota execs will be.
  11. With a very small payroll, they have already accomplished a great deal.
  12. The latest talk has Andrew Friedman as a target for our GM job. He did a great job with the Dodgers and his contract is up leaving the possibility of the Sox getting him realistic. Only about 42 years old so we shall see.
  13. To me, getting rid of proven and fairly young players would be folly. I would definitely keep Devers, Vaz, Bogaerts and E-Rod. I would like to keep Mookie but if he goes to the highest bidder in 2021, one has to ask if $35 mil for 8 to 10 years is too risky. Beni is another player who looks like his value at a lighter weight would be defense and offensively a high OBP guy. He wasn't that solid at either in 2019 and one wonders if the lighter weight he aspires to and a new hitting coach can up his value. JDM may go on his own and if he does the budget constraints get easier but will have to fill the DH role with less expensive. Barnes has been a good asset at times but also seems to blow up under pressure. I would trade him now. I am not in favor of blowing the team up but the albatross of generous contracts for underperforming asset may be with us for years to come. Anyone cate to speculate on how many games Sale, Price and Eovaldi will win for us in 2020? My guess is about 30 total and that is a far cry from keeping us competitive.
  14. I would like to think the Sox have a vision going forward rather than just reacting to the poor results and structuring of the team by firing DD. So far, without a new GM named it looks like random moves. About all I have heard that looks like at least part of a vision is the strong indication of a reset in 2020. With our high risk starting pitching staff, it looks like the right approach but the devil is always in the details. My opinion seems to line up with Moon's in general as I have understood his posts. 1. Reset in 2020 2. Keep as many of the best young players who will continue to make and impact in 2021 and beyond. 3. Trade or DFA players who wont help us in 2021 and beyond 4. Remain as competitive as possible under the circumstances 5. Try to trade the generous contracts or let them playout. 6. Possibly renegotiate Pedroia's contract for a lower AAV realizing he will not actually play again 7. Rework the coaching staff (being done) 8. Strengthen the farm 9. Bring young low cost players up to see if they can help. The lower cost and less frequent injury likelihood would be worth it
  15. I don't see that as a fact. Its a fact that Henry acts.
  16. It does seem the GM should have a hand in making key decisions like coaches and player contracts.
  17. When you have someone who is young and performing at a high level, What is the probability you can improve on that situation with a trade? There is probably a greater probability you can do much worse.
  18. It's now over a month since DD's contract was not renewed and yet no new GM has been named. That indicates to me that Ownership was unhappy with where DD had put us rather than a statement of where we want to go and who should lead us in that direction.
  19. He had a brief spell when he was hitting very well and started to hit with some power. Then he lengthened his swing and lost his hitting feel. Maybe a new hitting coach will do as well for him as getting lighter.
  20. Of course I was thinking Eovaldi and not E-Rod. We do have uunderperforming contracts with those three. These are high risk players going forward and it is hard for anyone to justify their salaries based on what I expect to be declining performance. Blowing the whole thing up means what? Trying to find someone to take one or two of these pitchers on by including a player like Beni or JBJ with them. I do think all options are on the table to try to reset and lower the number of DD's overly generous contracts.
  21. the trip was on a Viking ship and they do a great job. Good food and drink and just enough fellow passengers. I'm not as optimistic about our three high salaried pitchers going forward. I expect their quality to be about like this year, with limited innings and era's in the 4.5 region. I would like the team to remain as competitive as possible in 2020 while going for the reset. To me that means holding onto our best players who can be around in 2021 as well, and revitalizing the team but bringing up our best low cost propects and see where that lands us mid year.
  22. Just back from Budapest following a nice Danube cruise and catching up on the happenings. All I have seen so far is the firing of an assistant hitting coach. It is really difficult to assess the likelihood of major changes for next year until a new general manager is named and until some statement of direction is made (if the Sox choose to do that). I would think Sale, Price and Eovaldi are all moderate to high risk players going forward. With that in mind, I would think a reset is coming for 2020. A reset means dealing with Moreland, Holt, Bradley, Leon and Betts. It will also be affected by what jdm chooses to do. The sooner the Sox take care of the GM naming and the establishment of a game plan the better. Things left undone will wind up done anyway, but maybe not to our liking.
  23. Be cruising on the Danbube for the next 10 days. Maybe something will happen with the GM in that time. Once in place, things can move on players like Porcello, Moreland and Betts. Hope the news is positive.
  24. On the Sox in 2020 it will be how much we have to spend that will be a major facor in who we keep and who we get rid of. Guys like Porcello and Moreland have value but can we keep guys like them and still manage to keep our core?
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