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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    MH turns 37 in January. He only has played in 183 games total over the last two years. His OPS has been in near steady (but slow) decline since 2010: .922 2010 .912 2011 .877 2012 .879 2013 .811 2014 .804 2015 .782 2016 His lefty-righty splits are exactly the same over his career though.
  2. moonslav59
    Pretty close, probably. IW as just countering your point.. 2014-2016 (the years CB's been with the Yanks) ERA- BOS 98 NYY 99
  3. moonslav59
    But, not ever having to face Yankee pitching at Yankee Stadium has to be factored in too.
  4. moonslav59
    II get your point, but guys like Sale don't become available at $6.5M.... ever.
  5. moonslav59
    I'm glad it was them not us. $13M is insanity.
  6. moonslav59
    If we want to reset the luxury tax, I agree. We are going to need to settle on a platoon guy like Moss, Alvarez or Lind.
  7. moonslav59
    We need a LH'd hitter to pair with Young. Signing MH means Young or Beni sits vs LHPs. That's insane.
  8. moonslav59
    Fair enough. Signing a good 8th inning guy will probably cost the $10M we have to spend.
  9. moonslav59
    Moncada's 10 game MLB sample size this year has nothing to do with my opinion. Moncada ise a true top prospect. I have suggested trading him for Quintana long before his showing in the bigs this year. I realize the risk is huge risk. Moncada could be a generational talent. It's my opinion Sale already is, and at $6.5M off the luxury limit, he could help us acquire other talent in the years to come. I also have very high hopes for Devers. I'm a little worried about Moncada's defense and what position he might eventually get to be a decent fielder.
  10. moonslav59
    Signing MH would be unforgivable, unless it's for $3M a year. It's no secret I haven't been happy with DD's major moves, but I understood the reasoning behind them. Signing MH makes zero sense, especially if we are indeed trying to stay under the limit.
  11. moonslav59
    Rating catching defense has always been a tough task. For what's it's worth, here's where the playoff teams ranked on fangraph's team catcher defense page: 4 BOS 7 CLE 10 SFG 11 C Cubs 12 TEX 14 WSH 15 LAD 18 BAL 29 TOR Looks like a slightly closer correlation to better catcher defense than better catcher offense, in terms of making the playoffs.
  12. moonslav59
    For about a year, I have been saying the spending we did last winter was going to put us to the test with out future budget. I'm still not sure we are looking to reset this year, but if not this year than almost certainly next year we will. Next year's FA market is much better, and we have $20M coming off the books in Buch and Young, so it makes sense to try to reset this winter. from within the system. It will be tough to try and fill all our needs with just about $10M of spending space, so we may have to get creative or pray we get some in system solutions
  13. moonslav59
    He's a switch hitter. Yeah, it makes sense playing in NY would help his HR numbers more than Fenway, as there are more righties in the league than lefties, but the facts say otherwise. He has more HRs per PA at Fenway. I'm not saying past numbers project future ones, but I think Fenway would be a nice park for any hitter like Beltran to make his home park.
  14. moonslav59
    Alvarez is not the only one. We really need a LH'd platoon with Young. Moss:.791 career vs RHPs but .828 in 2016) If you pro-rate his 2016 numbers vs RHPs to 650 PAs: .223 47 98 (.303 OBP) Kinda like Chris Carter, but Carter can hit both sides about like that: 2016 prorated to 650 vs RHPs: .222 38 84 (.316 OBP) vs LHPs: .224 48 125 (.338 OBP) Adam Lind: .849 OPS vs RHPs and can play 1B or LF. His .589 OPS vs LHPs is atrocious! Morrison's .762 career splits vs RHPs is not what we need. He's 29, so maybe there's a chance of upside. 1B/3B P Alvarez .801 vs RHPs 1B/OF Moreland .778 career vs RHPs 1B LaRoche .831 1B Morneau .886 (.717 in 2016)
  15. moonslav59
    I wouldn't pay EE what he will get, even if we didn't lose a draft pick.
  16. moonslav59
    Carson Smith may not be back until July or August. Ross has been consistent. Kelly and Barnes are promising but huge question marks. I'm not saying this to you, but anyone who thinks we can lose Ziegler, Uehara and Tazawa without replacing them with 1 very goos set-up man or two good pen arms is asking for trouble. The league is moving towards stronger and stronger pens. We're going backwards by possibly not acting on our pen in a serious manner.
  17. moonslav59
    That's the point. If we wait, and he flops, then we don't get a Sale type for him. I wouldn't think about trading Moncada, if we didn't have Devers. I know the risk, but Sale is a known commodity and a sure ace.
  18. moonslav59
    Word is the CWS wanted Dansby Swanson and won't take Ozzie Albies instead. I'm not sure what else is wanted as part of the package, but I have to think Moncada would be somewhat equal to Swanson. Sale's $6.5M luxury tax cost is just what the Sox need. We could then afford to trade Buch, assuming we don't lose one of our 6 starters in the trade. We save $7M by picking up Sale and trading Buch. That gives us ~$17M to sign someone like Pedro Alvarez or Adam Lind plus Ziegler or a Uehara types.
  19. moonslav59
    MLBTR reports Sox are interested in Pedro Alvarez... The powerful Alvarez hit .249/.322/.504 with 22 home runs in 376 plate appearances with Baltimore, and recorded the majors’ 20th-highest ISO (.255) among those with at least 350 PAs.
  20. moonslav59
    The reason the Red Sox are in bad shape cap-wise is bad deals like Pablo Sandoval... Doesn't $31M for a flawed ace and $13m for a flawed closer have a little bit to do with also? Those two are 20% of our player payroll budget.
  21. moonslav59
    If we sign a right hander like Holliday, I'll be might be done with DD. Seriously. I've disagreed with his major moves so far, but I've not been saying he should be canned. He's chosen to win now, but Holliday would be a huge mistake for a team with a limited winter spending budget.
  22. moonslav59
    Re the bullpen: right now we are down Uehara and Ziegler from the pen that ended last season, so we have to add 2 pretty good relievers just to get back to that. BINGO
  23. moonslav59
    Good point. Yes 4 out of the top 6 catcher hitting teams made the playoffs, but it was also 4 of the top 13 teams made the playoffs. That's 31%. 5 of the top 17 made the playoffs. In theory, 5 out of 15 should make it, if it was randon. Since 10 out of 30 teams make the playoffs, which is 33%, then there's not much of a correlation between having a plus hitting catching and making the playoffs. Slight, but not major.
  24. moonslav59
    It might help to glance at the numbers before you make statements like this. Nobody is denying he's declined as he aged. Nobody is like Papi. Beltran: .836 Yankee Stadium (actually lower than his career OPS) .932 Fenway Park
  25. moonslav59
    If he's healthy and doing well, bot significant "ifs", he could start 21-33, but why all of a sudden, do people believe he's going to come through? What has changed? Let some other team pay for the upside potential vs disappointment gamble.
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