jacksonianmarch

I think we're gonna re-sign Reynolds for 3b, use Johnson at 2b and Ryan at UTIL

Dutchy, I would think Sanchez, Bird and Williams would be on your radar. Regardless, the Yankees minor league system had the worst year I could have imagined. 17 of the top 20 prospects per scout.com either had a career worst yr or we're injured. Of the other three, only one had a career year (Bird). These things happen. Just 3 seasons ago (2011), we were coming off an epic MiLB season where we seemingly hit gold with everybody. Our system is a lot better than it showed last yr, but unfortunately without anyone stepping up in the higher levels, we lack MLB ready replacements. That being said, we have a few guys going into 2014 in their final years of their contracts. Soriano, Gardner, Jeter, Johnson as of right now. This means our OF prospects have a year to get their s*** straight and they could, theoretically, be ready for the 2015 season.

I guess being as valuable as Choo and Choo being worth the money are two different arguments. I doubt JBJ is a 5 WAR player in his rookie yr. But dollars per win should clearly be in JBJ's favor.

Can you do an Ellsbury home flyball a with a YS overlay?

Pal, in the minors, Gardy hit a total of 9HR in 1475ABs. In the bigs, he's hit a total of 23 in 1932 ABs. Of the 23HR's he has hit since the new Yankee Stadium was built, 16 of them were hit at home. The guy's HRs are typically by accident as he flies out down the RF line, except in NY, its a homer. The park increases lefty power immensely. His MiLB HR rate is 1 ever 164ABs, His away rate the last 3 yrs is 1 every 110ABs. His rate at home over the same span is 1 every 52ABs.

This wasn't the New York media. This was Cano's friend who said he didn't want to bat in the 2 hole because it decreased his value. Thus far, this has been a pretty amicable parting, IMO, and most Yankee fans wish he wasn't gone

Choo is gonna get a Werth contract

Brett Gardner went 4 seasons from 06-09 hitting a total of 8 homers with 09 being his only year in the house that George built. His last two healthy seasons, he hit 15, and the guys swing makes Juan Pierre's look like a power cut. A 330 foot flyball to RCF is a homer. In Fenway, it's 385. Provided good health, I expect our 3 new non ancient pickups (Johnson, McCann, Ellsbury) to hit 60+ homers between them. In terms of Beltran, I can't provide an estimate since he's old as f*** and Father Time can strike at any moment.

I do remember Brady Anderson. I also remember he was on the juice. I'm not saying Ells is gonna hit 30 again. But is 20 in YS so far fetched?

All true. Though we have seen power from Ells. This isn't like a guy who never hit more than 9 and I am expecting him to hit 20 pulling it out of my ass. The guy hit 31 playing in a park that is hard for a lefty to pile up power numbers. I expect Ellsbury to hit more homers in YS. Will he hit enough to be a middle of the order hitter? That remains to be seen

I am fully aware that Cano is the better player. I am also aware that Ells is younger, signed for 3 less years and he is moving into a park conducive to hitting for power from the left side.

What are you talking about? You lose your highest pick when you sign a player who had a QO extended. The Yankees lost 2 players who had QOs, but since they signed 3, their first pick isn't until the 2nd round

YOu have $250K above $50K. Any pick past round 10 can get $50K without using your bonus pool

I have said already that I think Ells will be worth a 5-6 WAR for the first 4 yrs. I said Cano will be worth the money for 5 yrs. Cano gets 2 extra years of solid production, IMO, due to his differing skillset. Also, I looked at the spray chart, and being completely unscientific, based on the distance of his shortest RF homerun (down the Pesky pole line), there are 10 other hits that would have been out in YS. Assuming half of those were hit in NY, that's 5 more HRs. Not a ton, but still 14HR is a lot better than 9

These are my final thoughts on Cano and I wish him well in Seattle. Cano is 31 years old. He signed a deal through 2023. He will be 40 for that entire season, and turn 41 during the playoffs. And during that time, he'd be making $24 mil per year. Financially, it is a deal that is unbeatable. It doesn't matter where Robby calls home, it is where he earns his paycheck. And in NY, you not only have a state income tax, you also have a NYC income tax, which is pretty steep. Washington has no state income tax. The $42 mil extra might actually be a little light if the Yankees wanted to match dollar for dollar. That being said, Cash was given an offer of 10 yrs $235 mil to counter, so that is what we have to go off of. But, we just didn't want to be locked into another ridiculous contract a la ARod. And we couldn't match that, else we'd be dealing with the same garbage we are dealing with f***Rod. We don't need to pay for past performance. I have said before that whomever gets Robby is going to get 3 yrs of elite performance, 2 yrs of above average performance and after that he'll be a minus. The M's effectively are paying Cano for the first 5 yrs of his deal and have a whopping $120 mil albatross from age 37-41. That's insane. And then there is Ellsbury. I hear the WEEI pundits talking about Ells and Cano as if their deals are the same. Their AAV's are similar, well, Cano's is $1.5 mil per annum more, but the length and the age don't fit. Ells is 11 months younger than Cano. He is also signed for 7 yrs instead of 10. Ells contract finishes up in 2020 when he'll have just turned 37. Cano's contract ends after Cano turns 41, big difference. The M's are paying for years 38-41 that the Yankees aren't paying for. They got Ells without the albatross. They are also banking on the change of park to increase his power back to 2011 levels. If they are right, this contract is a f***ing steal. If they are wrong, they still likely get 5-6WAR production for the next 4 yrs and have a 3 yr albatross. Whereas Cano is probably at least a 5 yr albatross contract at a higher AAV. It made sense for Seattle to do something drastic to bring the fans back and legitimize their lineup. It did not make sense for NY to do the same when they have more funds and don't have the desperation of needing to prove they are actually viable. They can spread those funds around and in doing so, create a better team 1-9. I think they have done that in the lineup, although I bet they have one or two more position players to add. They haven't done that in the rotation yet, but lets see what happens with Tanaka

There is no reason to deal Gardner unless we get pitching. Gardner is a 4WAR player who is a burner and plays elite defense. We don't need to get a guy like Phillips more than we need Gardy

Epstein has a stable of young players he is about to parade out there. Javier Baez and Kris Bryant being 2 of them. He's going to get a lot of use out of former Yankee farmhand Arodys Vizcaino as well and filled his long term 1b spot with Rizzo. He started with a team flush with horrendous contracts, a farm with no talent, and an owner who wanted to reboot. Epstein is doing that. It just takes time. By 2015, he is going to have a franchise IF with some serious pitching talent coming through the pipe

You've known since last night. Hoplite was banned. He was obviously dutchy. The first thing he does is attack me, lol

He's a power hitter only. He is definitely better than replacement, but they paid a steep price for a 2WAR player who plays s*** defense and doesn't walk

The guy is an OBP machine. But once again, he's a lefty and in your park, lefty power is diminished. I guess he'd be worth the money if you didn't have someone ready to take their lumps at the big league level. But with JBJ there, do you ride with the kid, or do you go all out for the vet? That's going to be a philosophical question for the GM more than anything.

and RSFFL comes through with a dose of reality. Hoplite/Dutchy is looking at the overall picture assuming perfect health from 2013. I have said this before. We got a minus from our catcher's position, we got a 0WAR from 1b, we had bottom 5 production from C, SS, 3b and LF. We had the worst slash line in baseball from RF and DH. We had an offensive WAR of 10.4 from last yr. Seriously, 10.4. We were 24th in baseball in offensive WAR. We have Soriano for a full season. We added McCann, Ellsbury, and Beltran. Losing Cano hurts. We have a healthy Jeter and Tex. I don't know what to tell you right now, aside from the fact that our offense is VASTLY improved. We have holes in the staff, but no dominoes have fallen there sans Nathan who had no interest in coming here anyway. I bet Balfour comes to NY, we sign at least 1, maybe 2 more starters and call it an offseason.

I was a hater of Girardi until this last season. The 2013 Yankees that took the field sucked. And they managed to win 85 games by some miracle. He pushed all the right buttons and still managed to leave them respectable in the division. That's hard to do. I think he can finally have the team how he wants next yr with a bunch of guys who are known for being team first players, assuming f***Roid is suspended

And that is just stadium attendance. Imagine the damage to the brand and the broadcasting moneys

He'll end up a HOFer in the end. His numbers started during the back end of the steroid era and he was flat out dominant and durable.

Looks like NY is in on Infante. Makes a whole lot of sense