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Thread: Trades?

  1. #106
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    He's a decent fielder, too, with a chance to get even better, despite turning 25, soon.

    5 more years of control, at reasonable contractual costs is not something to think lightly about, under the current budget situation we have.

    I agree that Hamilton is just a bench guy, as of now, but his sample size is starting to get large enough, where I'm expecting him to hit well. Maybe pitchers will find a weak point, and he will not be able to adjust. His defense is not good, and that might be too kind on that.

    I also agree that Grissom has not earned the starting 2B job, and the way DHam is playing, maybe not even the back-up 2B/SS job, either. He needs to start proving himself.

    I'm not counting on Yoshida for anything, but I'm not at or near the DFA him point. If he can DH with Ref, and we can still find ways to play Ref, even vs RHPs, until he stops hitting them, fine. I do think we are strong and deep in the OF, especially if Anthony comes through, so if we need to trade to upgrade our rotation or middle IF, or even a RHB, trading an OF'er makes some sense.

    Ideally, we find a taker for Yoshida, even if we pay a hefty chunk of his deal. That gives Ref a a place to play and maybe give some rest to an OF'er or two, every now and then. For 2024, Ref and O'Neill could DH, but both are RHBs.

    2025 OF
    LF: Duran, Refsnyder (Lugo)
    CF: Rafaela, Duran, Anthony
    RF: Abreu, Refsnyder, Anthony

    Would the OF look all that bad, if we traded any one of these guys?
    Hamilton is on a hot streak. So far, it’s only been 85 PA with a .963 OPS. But don’t forget, only 85 PA ago, his OPS was .563 and he looked like DFA material.

    As for the OF, assuming the Sox hold on to the one outfielder they extended (Rafaela), it looks like they would be moving a LHH corner OF…

  2. #107
    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    Move to LF and you have Duran, Rafaela, Abreu and Anthony with two of them on the bench.
    Wouldn't one of these guys be part of the trade?
    Quote Originally Posted by A Red Sox fan named Hugh View Post
    New Prediction. The Sox will make a major starting pitching acquisition in the 2023/24 offseason.

  3. #108
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by A Red Sox fan named Hugh View Post
    Wouldn't one of these guys be part of the trade?
    Most likely!
    Quote Originally Posted by Old Red View Post
    I get MV Pee.

  4. #109
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    Hamilton is on a hot streak. So far, it’s only been 85 PA with a .963 OPS. But don’t forget, only 85 PA ago, his OPS was .563 and he looked like DFA material.

    As for the OF, assuming the Sox hold on to the one outfielder they extended (Rafaela), it looks like they would be moving a LHH corner OF…
    Certainly, it is quite possible DHam will be a career .625-.675 hitter, and with his sub defense, his MLB career might be very short. I get that.

    However, he has hit pretty well in the minors (.801 in AAA '23) and is an excellent baserunner and base stealer. He also has some pop in his bat, which might help him stick around, longer.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  5. #110
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    Hamilton is on a hot streak. So far, it’s only been 85 PA with a .963 OPS. But don’t forget, only 85 PA ago, his OPS was .563 and he looked like DFA material.

    As for the OF, assuming the Sox hold on to the one outfielder they extended (Rafaela), it looks like they would be moving a LHH corner OF…
    Right now Hamilton has played exactly the same number of games, 43, as Story played last year. But Hamilton's WAR is +1.4 and his OPS .820. Story's WAR was +0.8 and his OPS .566. Let me be honest and admit I have been as anti-Hamilton as anyone can be. But right now the deal for Story looks as stupid as the one the Yankees made to rip off Jacoby Ellsbury.

    And, if you throw in--along with Hamilton--the likes of Duran, Abreu, Rafaela, Wong, and Casas, it sure looks to me as though the best team for the Sox to make "deals" with is Worcester. And that's not counting the guys still at Portland.

    John Henry's furor over spending big bucks for players has some legitimacy: Story $22.5M x 6 seasons; Giolito $36M for 2 seasons; Jansen $32M for 2 seasons; Sale $17M for 1 season (with the freaking Braves!) ; Turner $7M for 1 season (also with another team!); Yoshida $18.6M for 5 seasons. And let's not forget the Sox paid Sale 87.5M for 2021-23 when his cumulative WAR was 2.6. They also paid David Price most of $180M for 2016-22, during which his cumulative WAR was 11.2.

  6. #111
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maxbialystock View Post
    Right now Hamilton has played exactly the same number of games, 43, as Story played last year. But Hamilton's WAR is +1.4 and his OPS .820. Story's WAR was +0.8 and his OPS .566. Let me be honest and admit I have been as anti-Hamilton as anyone can be. But right now the deal for Story looks as stupid as the one the Yankees made to rip off Jacoby Ellsbury.

    And, if you throw in--along with Hamilton--the likes of Duran, Abreu, Rafaela, Wong, and Casas, it sure looks to me as though the best team for the Sox to make "deals" with is Worcester. And that's not counting the guys still at Portland.

    John Henry's furor over spending big bucks for players has some legitimacy: Story $22.5M x 6 seasons; Giolito $36M for 2 seasons; Jansen $32M for 2 seasons; Sale $17M for 1 season (with the freaking Braves!) ; Turner $7M for 1 season (also with another team!); Yoshida $18.6M for 5 seasons. And let's not forget the Sox paid Sale 87.5M for 2021-23 when his cumulative WAR was 2.6. They also paid David Price most of $180M for 2016-22, during which his cumulative WAR was 11.2.
    But free agency isn’t always about production. There is a certain PR aspect to it when ownership sends a message to the fanbase that money will NOT be an obstacle this season. Of course, the reality might be “we will pay $20mill to Player X in hopes that it leads to the fanbase throwing $30mill plus back our way.”

  7. #112
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maxbialystock View Post
    Right now Hamilton has played exactly the same number of games, 43, as Story played last year. But Hamilton's WAR is +1.4 and his OPS .820. Story's WAR was +0.8 and his OPS .566. Let me be honest and admit I have been as anti-Hamilton as anyone can be. But right now the deal for Story looks as stupid as the one the Yankees made to rip off Jacoby Ellsbury.

    And, if you throw in--along with Hamilton--the likes of Duran, Abreu, Rafaela, Wong, and Casas, it sure looks to me as though the best team for the Sox to make "deals" with is Worcester. And that's not counting the guys still at Portland.

    John Henry's furor over spending big bucks for players has some legitimacy: Story $22.5M x 6 seasons; Giolito $36M for 2 seasons; Jansen $32M for 2 seasons; Sale $17M for 1 season (with the freaking Braves!) ; Turner $7M for 1 season (also with another team!); Yoshida $18.6M for 5 seasons. And let's not forget the Sox paid Sale 87.5M for 2021-23 when his cumulative WAR was 2.6. They also paid David Price most of $180M for 2016-22, during which his cumulative WAR was 11.2.
    It also looks like our worries about depth and ML ready minor league depth were surprisingly wrong.

    We lost our apparent #1 SP for the full year, Whitlock for almost the full year, and others for starts here and there, yet our rotation, despite recent issues, is still ranked very highly in almost every category.

    Our pen has seen Jansen struggle, early as well as Martin and his recent IL stint. I Campbell was supposed to be nice depth, and he has yet to do anything good. The pen has been a clear strength.

    The loss of Casas has hurt, and no good replacement has been found. It took some trial and error (literally and figuratively) to find the middle infield that has not killed us. We went through EValdez I, Reyes, Short, Grissom and a poor start by DHam to finally seem okay with DHam, EValdez II, Westbrook & Romy. Many saw Refsnyder as expendable, last winter. He leads all of our OF in OPS. Rafaela and Abreu have done fine.

    Even players we have yet to use from the farm have been getting closer and closer to ML ready.

    The fact that a roster of a lot of Woo North players on it is still at .500 is a testament to out depth. That being said, if we never get healthy, .500 might be where we stay for longer than any of us want, except Randy, who wants us to bottom out, first.

    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  8. #113
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    It also looks like our worries about depth and ML ready minor league depth were surprisingly wrong.

    We lost our apparent #1 SP for the full year, Whitlock for almost the full year, and others for starts here and there, yet our rotation, despite recent issues, is still ranked very highly in almost every category.

    Our pen has seen Jansen struggle, early as well as Martin and his recent IL stint. I Campbell was supposed to be nice depth, and he has yet to do anything good. The pen has been a clear strength.

    The loss of Casas has hurt, and no good replacement has been found. It took some trial and error (literally and figuratively) to find the middle infield that has not killed us. We went through EValdez I, Reyes, Short, Grissom and a poor start by DHam to finally seem okay with DHam, EValdez II, Westbrook & Romy. Many saw Refsnyder as expendable, last winter. He leads all of our OF in OPS. Rafaela and Abreu have done fine.

    Even players we have yet to use from the farm have been getting closer and closer to ML ready.

    The fact that a roster of a lot of Woo North players on it is still at .500 is a testament to out depth. That being said, if we never get healthy, .500 might be where we stay for longer than any of us want, except Randy, who wants us to bottom out, first.

    that is twisting my word pal. what I said was the Sox have been hanging around .500 or just below for the 5th straight year now and have never been sellers at the deadline as they keep trying to convince fans like you that they still have a shot at a W/C. They let guys like Xander, JDM, and a few others walk for nothing but low draft picks.

  9. #114
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    Quote Originally Posted by Randy Red Sox View Post
    that is twisting my word pal. what I said was the Sox have been hanging around .500 or just below for the 5th straight year now and have never been sellers at the deadline as they keep trying to convince fans like you that they still have a shot at a W/C. They let guys like Xander, JDM, and a few others walk for nothing but low draft picks.
    I thought you said we need to hit rock bottom for any real change to occur.

    Sorry for mischaracterizing your position.

    I have been on the sell train every deadline,since 2019, except 2021.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  10. #115
    Revised sell list for the 2024 trade deadline:

    Jansen
    O’Neil
    Martin (if healthy)
    Pivetta
    Yoshida (retain large percent of salary)

  11. #116
    Legend Nick's Avatar
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    Good post by Notin on all the failed contracts.
    I write fictional stories in my spare time. So don't fact check me. Better?

  12. #117
    Quote Originally Posted by Nick View Post
    Good post by Notin on all the failed contracts.
    I'll always root for the players, because succeeding at baseball is so freaking hard.

    But considering this roster and how far away it has been -- and feels -- from actually contending these past few years...

    ... put it this way, if I agree with Yankee fans that the Red Sox SUUUUUCCCCCKKKKKK, it's not those in uniform -- especially the manager and coaches who don't even play anymore...

    ... it's always the Boston front office.

  13. #118
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    I thought you said we need to hit rock bottom for any real change to occur.

    Sorry for mischaracterizing your position.

    I have been on the sell train every deadline,since 2019, except 2021.
    Ah yes the favorite pastime on here, on who, and how many the Red Sox can sell off.🤭🙈🤮

  14. #119
    Quote Originally Posted by Larry Cook View Post
    Revised sell list for the 2024 trade deadline:

    Jansen
    O’Neil
    Martin (if healthy)
    Pivetta
    Yoshida (retain large percent of salary)
    none of those will bring back much in the way of decent prospects

  15. #120
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    Quote Originally Posted by Randy Red Sox View Post
    none of those will bring back much in the way of decent prospects
    How about just putting a team together where you don’t have to sell off anyone, and actually do some buying?🙈🤭

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